Natural Newark's continuing coverage of the 2012 Presidential election
DELEGATE COUNT 1.155 needed to win Projections: 496 Mitt Romney 236 Rick Santorum 141 Newt Gingrich 66 Ron Paul GENERAL ELECTION HEAD TO HEAD (RCP Averag) 50% President Obama* vs. 46.1% Mitt Romney 42.1% Rick Santorum 41.8% Ron Paul 36.2% Newt Gingrich PRIMARY RESULTS TOTAL POPULAR VOTES SO FAR** 3,472,365 Romney 2,282,245 Santorum 2,101,951 Gingrich 949,207 Ron Paul MISSISSIPPI 33% Rick Santorum 31% Newt Gingrich 30% Mitt Romney 4% Ron Paul HAWAI'I 45% Mitt Romney 25% Rick Santorum 18% Ron Paul 11% Newt Gingrich ALABAMA 35% Rick Santorum 29% Newt Gingrich 29% Mitt Romney 5% Ron Paul VIRGIN ISLANDS 29% Ron Paul 26% Mitt Romney 6% Rick Santorum 5% Newt Gingrich NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS 87% Mitt Romney 6% Rick Santorum 3% Ron Paul 3% Newt Gingrich GUAM 96% Mitt Romney 4% Uncommitted KANSAS 51% Rick Santorum 21% Mitt Romney 14% Newt Gingrich 13% Ron Paul VIRGINIA 60% Mitt Romney 40% Ron Paul VERMONT 40% Mitt Romney 25% Ron Paul 24% Rick Santorum 8% Newt Gingrich TENNESSEE 37% Rick Santorum 28% Mitt Romney 24% Newt Gingrich 9% Ron Paul OKLAHOMA 34% Rick Santorum 28% Mitt Romney 27% Newt Gingrich 10% Ron Paul OHIO 38% Mitt Romney 37% Rick Santorum 15% Newt Gingrich 9% Ron Paul NORTH DAKOTA 40% Rick Santorum 28% Ron Paul 24% Mitt Romney 8% Newt Gingrich MASSACHUSETTS 72% Mitt Romney 12% Rick Santorum 11% Ron Paul 5% Newt GIngrich IDAHO 62% Mitt Romney 18% Rick Santorum 18% Ron Paul 2% Newt Gingrich GEORGIA 47% Newt Gingrich 26% Mitt Romney 20% Rick Santorum 7% Ron Paul ALASKA 33% Mitt Romney 29% Rick Santorum 24% Ron Paul 14% Newt Gingrich WASHINGTON 38% Mitt Romney 25% Ron Paul 24% Rick Santorum 10% Newt Gingrich WYOMING 39% Mitt Romney 32% Rick Santorum 21% Ron Paul 8% Newt Gingrich MICHIGAN 41% Mitt Romney 38% Rick Santorum 12% Ron Paul 6% Newt Gingrich ARIZONA 47% Mitt Romney 26 Rick Santorum 16% Newt Gingrich 8% Ron Paul MINNESOTA 45% Rick Santorum 27% Ron Paul 17% Mitt Romney 11% Newt Gingrich COLORADO 40% Rick Santorum 35% Mitt Romney 13% Newt Gingrich 12% Ron Paul NEVADA 55% Mitt Romney 21% Newt Gingrich 19% Rick Santorum 10% Ron Paul FLORIDA 46% Mitt Romney 32% Newt Gingrich 13% Rick Santorum 7% Ron Paul SOUTH CAROLINA 40% Newt Gingrich 28% Mitt Romney 17% Rick Santorum 13% Ron Paul 1% Herman Cain NEW HAMPSHIRE 39% Mitt Romney 23% Ron Paul 17% Jon Huntsman 9% Newt Gingrich 9% Rick Santorum 1% Rick Perry IOWA CAUCUS 24.6% Rick Santorum 24.5% Mitt Romney 21.4% Ron Paul 13.3% Newt Gingrich 10.3% Rick Perry 5% Michele Bachmann .6% Jon Huntsman .3% Other *President Obama scores between 47.1% (against Mitt Romney) to 50.7% (against Newt Gingrich). We gave the President 50% and adjusted the GOP candidates' percentage accordingly to allow for an easier comparison. See the raw results here. **Not all votes counted ***Non-binding primary, caucus held March 19 for delegates | PRIMARIES/CAUCUSES SO FAR  THE CANDIDATES   REPUBLICANS ELIMINATED  Pre-Florida analysis: Newt's hit the highest numbers seen in the GOP polls in Florida so far, in mid-December, but after collapsing before finishing 4th in Iowa and 5th in New Hampshire, only led again in Florida for a day or two after his semi-surprise win in South Carolina, while Mitt Romney has been steadily building support as his money and organization dominates among Florida Republicans. The primary is the first open only to registered Republicans, and up to a third of the vote Tuesday will be 65+. The state has voted for the winner in every Presidential election since 1992, when Bill Clinton barely lost with, Ross Perot taking 20% in Florida and 19% nationally. Polls show a dead heat between President Obama and Mitt Romney in Florida in a hypothetical match-up. Expect Romney to take it handily. Post South Carolina analysis: Even if Mitt Romney is Hillary Clinton 2008, Gingrich is no Obama so look for Mitt to lock up the nomination anyway, even if he has to bring in Ron Paul or Rick Santorum to get the delegate count. | ORIGINAL COVERAGE Cain endorses Gingrich Ignoring Ron Paul Iowa Caucus Analysis Pres at 50% in NJ Who is Herman Cain? Who is Rick Perry? Cornel West on Obama NEWS STREAM Click for by candidate 3/10. Santorum cedes economy, focuses on foreign policy 3/8. Obama campaign releasing documentary 3/8. Gingrich jumps the shark 3/7. Obama campaign: Romney on "death march" to nod 2/29. Long primary sapping Republicans 2/29. Romney survives MI 2/26. Gingrich: President's apology a "surrender" in Afghanistan 2/26. Santorum: Romney uses teleprompter, not me 2/26. Santorum win in Michigan would throw GOP into chaos 2/25. Mitt Romney's Cadillacs 2/23. Romney looks for Tea Party vote, Santorum looks for cash 2/22. Obama hits Santorum 2/20. Santorum: Democrats "anti-science," not me 2/19. Santorum denies questioning President Obama's faith 2/19. Romney tries to make Michigan home 2/19. Gingrich focusing on Super Tuesday 2/19. Colbert back on TV 2/18. Romney might have lost to Ron Paul in Maine 2/18. Social issues and the Santorum surge 2/18. Santorum attacks Obama on pre-natal care 2/12. Rick Santorum defends views on women 2/11. After three losses, Mitt Romney beats Ron Paul, just barely, in Maine 2/8. Romney glitter bomber arrested and charged 2/8. Does Newt still matter? 2/7. President's re-election campaign pivots, shills for the Super PAC 2/7. Romney then and now 2/5. Romney wins Nevada 2/5. Ron Paul to go on past disappointing Nevada 2/5. Youth double down on Ron Paul in Nevada 2/5. Santorum keeps shooting at Newt 2/3. Romney focuses on President, Congress 2/3. Gingrich hits Mitt Romney on poor 2/2. Trump endorses Mitt 2/2. Romney unconcerned with Gingrich Florida lawsuit 1/29. Santorum daughter sick 1/28. Romney, Newt Gingrich resort to namecalling 1/28. NBC News asks Mitt Romney to pull ad 1/27. Santorum: No abortion for rape, make the best of a bad situation 1/25. Gingrich the cheater 1/23. Romney on Gingrich: "highly erratic" 1/23. Tax lawyers question Gingrich's 2010 returns 1/22. Newt dismisses ethics 1/21. Perry's unsure return to the Texas Capitol 1/20. Al Green: President "nailed" my song 1/20. Mitt hits Newt 1/20. Colbert, Cain hit SC 1/19. First Obama campaign ad targets Kochs 1/19. Mitt the job creator? 1/19. Newt's third wife 1/19. Newt's daughters: Open marriage claim untrue 1/16. Colbert PAC launches anti-Romney ad 1/16. Huntsman departure limited impact 1/16. They want the GOP primaries to be over 1/15. Is Stephen Colbert running for President? 1/14. Cons pick tricky Rick 1/14. Romney spins Bain 1/13. Judge rejects Virginia GOP ballot appeal 1/13. Romney strikes back 1/12. Palin to Romney: Prove Bain job creation 1/12. Romney, Newt tied up in SC, Santorum in the mix 1/11. Obama raising money 1/9. Stop Romney campaign stops at South Carolina 1/8. Heat's on Romney 1/7. Ron Paul in it to win it? EARLIER |